The State Duma elections, scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, feature a mixed electoral system with 225 proportional seats (5% threshold) and 225 single-member districts that strongly favor United Russia. Recent government-affiliated polls from VCIOM and FOM place KPRF support at 11–15%, below its 18.9% share in 2021 that yielded 57 seats, amid competition from New People and LDPR for second place. Traders price a sub-50 seat outcome as most likely due to documented administrative pressures, including candidate interference and regional arrests in traditional strongholds like Altai Krai, alongside the party's pro-war positioning that has narrowed its protest-vote base. The barring of the anti-war Yabloko party further limits alternative channels for opposition sentiment. These factors reinforce the market's view of constrained gains for KPRF in the current managed process.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<50 73%
50–59 21%
80–89 4.5%
90–99 4.4%
<50
73%
50–59
21%
60–69
3%
70–79
2%
80–89
4%
90–99
4%
100+
3%
<50 73%
50–59 21%
80–89 4.5%
90–99 4.4%
<50
73%
50–59
21%
60–69
3%
70–79
2%
80–89
4%
90–99
4%
100+
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The State Duma elections, scheduled for September 18–20, 2026, feature a mixed electoral system with 225 proportional seats (5% threshold) and 225 single-member districts that strongly favor United Russia. Recent government-affiliated polls from VCIOM and FOM place KPRF support at 11–15%, below its 18.9% share in 2021 that yielded 57 seats, amid competition from New People and LDPR for second place. Traders price a sub-50 seat outcome as most likely due to documented administrative pressures, including candidate interference and regional arrests in traditional strongholds like Altai Krai, alongside the party's pro-war positioning that has narrowed its protest-vote base. The barring of the anti-war Yabloko party further limits alternative channels for opposition sentiment. These factors reinforce the market's view of constrained gains for KPRF in the current managed process.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) bei der nächsten Wahl zur russischen Staatsduma weniger als 45 Sitze gewinnen?
Wird Einiges Russland bei der nächsten Wahl zur russischen Staatsduma zwischen 325 und 339 Sitze gewinnen?
Wird New People (NL) bei der nächsten Wahl zur russischen Staatsduma weniger als 35 Sitze gewinnen?
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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