Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Libéral du Québec near 22-24% support provincewide ahead of the October 5 election, with seat projections centering around 31 but ranging from the mid-20s to high-30s depending on model assumptions. The tight distribution across the 28-31, sub-28, and 32-35 brackets reflects the party's concentrated strength among anglophone and allophone voters on Montreal Island alongside weaker francophone performance elsewhere, producing vote inefficiency that caps gains in competitive ridings. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters, regional turnout patterns, and head-to-head results against the leading Parti Québécois and trailing Coalition Avenir Québec could still widen or narrow the final seat count.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 25%
36-39 6.3%
$25,053 Vol.
$25,053 Vol.
5. Okt. 2026
<28
27%
28-31
35%
32-35
25%
36-39
6%
40-43
2%
44+
1%
28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 25%
36-39 6.3%
$25,053 Vol.
$25,053 Vol.
5. Okt. 2026
<28
$4,646 Vol.
27%
28-31
$5,039 Vol.
35%
32-35
$7,007 Vol.
25%
36-39
$5,508 Vol.
6%
40-43
$1,501 Vol.
2%
44+
$1,351 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Libéral du Québec near 22-24% support provincewide ahead of the October 5 election, with seat projections centering around 31 but ranging from the mid-20s to high-30s depending on model assumptions. The tight distribution across the 28-31, sub-28, and 32-35 brackets reflects the party's concentrated strength among anglophone and allophone voters on Montreal Island alongside weaker francophone performance elsewhere, producing vote inefficiency that caps gains in competitive ridings. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters, regional turnout patterns, and head-to-head results against the leading Parti Québécois and trailing Coalition Avenir Québec could still widen or narrow the final seat count.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volumen
$25,053Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Libéral du Québec near 22-24% support provincewide ahead of the October 5 election, with seat projections centering around 31 but ranging from the mid-20s to high-30s depending on model assumptions. The tight distribution across the 28-31, sub-28, and 32-35 brackets reflects the party's concentrated strength among anglophone and allophone voters on Montreal Island alongside weaker francophone performance elsewhere, producing vote inefficiency that caps gains in competitive ridings. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters, regional turnout patterns, and head-to-head results against the leading Parti Québécois and trailing Coalition Avenir Québec could still widen or narrow the final seat count.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$25,053Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Libéral du Québec near 22-24% support provincewide ahead of the October 5 election, with seat projections centering around 31 but ranging from the mid-20s to high-30s depending on model assumptions. The tight distribution across the 28-31, sub-28, and 32-35 brackets reflects the party's concentrated strength among anglophone and allophone voters on Montreal Island alongside weaker francophone performance elsewhere, producing vote inefficiency that caps gains in competitive ridings. Late-campaign shifts in undecided voters, regional turnout patterns, and head-to-head results against the leading Parti Québécois and trailing Coalition Avenir Québec could still widen or narrow the final seat count.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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