**Latest forecasts from major models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a maximum of 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on August 11, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light southerly flow that limits daytime warming during the Southern Hemisphere winter.** Typical August climatology shows highs near 15–17 °C, but current guidance reflects cooler-than-average conditions tied to an evolving El Niño pattern that can suppress temperatures across central Argentina. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 11 °C and 13 °C and only low probability of outliers above 14 °C or below 10 °C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic model runs, which show minimal warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Official updates expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 11. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 11. August?
12°C 51%
11°C 28%
13°C 15%
10°C 5%
NEU
$14,724 Vol.
NEU
$14,724 Vol.
11. Aug. 2026
6°C oder darunter
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
28%
12°C
51%
13°C
15%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 51%
11°C 28%
13°C 15%
10°C 5%
NEU
$14,724 Vol.
NEU
$14,724 Vol.
11. Aug. 2026
6°C oder darunter
$397 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$511 Vol.
1%
10°C
$665 Vol.
5%
11°C
$7,396 Vol.
28%
12°C
$1,566 Vol.
51%
13°C
$807 Vol.
15%
14°C
$1,240 Vol.
2%
15°C
$412 Vol.
1%
16°C oder höher
$903 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from major models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a maximum of 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on August 11, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light southerly flow that limits daytime warming during the Southern Hemisphere winter.**
Typical August climatology shows highs near 15–17 °C, but current guidance reflects cooler-than-average conditions tied to an evolving El Niño pattern that can suppress temperatures across central Argentina. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 11 °C and 13 °C and only low probability of outliers above 14 °C or below 10 °C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic model runs, which show minimal warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Official updates expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$14,724Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from major models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a maximum of 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on August 11, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light southerly flow that limits daytime warming during the Southern Hemisphere winter.**
Typical August climatology shows highs near 15–17 °C, but current guidance reflects cooler-than-average conditions tied to an evolving El Niño pattern that can suppress temperatures across central Argentina. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 11 °C and 13 °C and only low probability of outliers above 14 °C or below 10 °C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic model runs, which show minimal warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Official updates expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,724Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts from major models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a maximum of 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on August 11, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light southerly flow that limits daytime warming during the Southern Hemisphere winter.** Typical August climatology shows highs near 15–17 °C, but current guidance reflects cooler-than-average conditions tied to an evolving El Niño pattern that can suppress temperatures across central Argentina. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 11 °C and 13 °C and only low probability of outliers above 14 °C or below 10 °C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic model runs, which show minimal warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Official updates expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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