Forecast uncertainty across global models drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities between 34°C and 37°C for Chongqing’s September 5 high temperature. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show modest disagreement on the strength of subtropical high pressure and moisture transport from the East Asian monsoon, which can add or subtract 1–2°C through cloud cover and humidity effects. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island amplify daytime maxima, but recent observations indicate near-normal soil moisture that limits extreme heat buildup. With the event only 48 hours away, traders weigh the next model update cycles and any rapid changes in steering flow that could shift peak readings by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 5. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 5. September?
37°C 31%
36°C 30%
35°C 30%
34°C 22%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
30°C oder weniger
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
22%
35°C
30%
36°C
30%
37°C
24%
38°C
10%
39°C
17%
40°C oder höher
8%
37°C 31%
36°C 30%
35°C 30%
34°C 22%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
30°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$2 Vol.
4%
33°C
$2 Vol.
10%
34°C
$0 Vol.
22%
35°C
$0 Vol.
30%
36°C
$0 Vol.
30%
37°C
$35 Vol.
24%
38°C
$0 Vol.
10%
39°C
$0 Vol.
17%
40°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty across global models drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities between 34°C and 37°C for Chongqing’s September 5 high temperature. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show modest disagreement on the strength of subtropical high pressure and moisture transport from the East Asian monsoon, which can add or subtract 1–2°C through cloud cover and humidity effects. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island amplify daytime maxima, but recent observations indicate near-normal soil moisture that limits extreme heat buildup. With the event only 48 hours away, traders weigh the next model update cycles and any rapid changes in steering flow that could shift peak readings by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$39Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty across global models drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities between 34°C and 37°C for Chongqing’s September 5 high temperature. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show modest disagreement on the strength of subtropical high pressure and moisture transport from the East Asian monsoon, which can add or subtract 1–2°C through cloud cover and humidity effects. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island amplify daytime maxima, but recent observations indicate near-normal soil moisture that limits extreme heat buildup. With the event only 48 hours away, traders weigh the next model update cycles and any rapid changes in steering flow that could shift peak readings by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty across global models drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities between 34°C and 37°C for Chongqing’s September 5 high temperature. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show modest disagreement on the strength of subtropical high pressure and moisture transport from the East Asian monsoon, which can add or subtract 1–2°C through cloud cover and humidity effects. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island amplify daytime maxima, but recent observations indicate near-normal soil moisture that limits extreme heat buildup. With the event only 48 hours away, traders weigh the next model update cycles and any rapid changes in steering flow that could shift peak readings by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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