Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Dallas on August 5, 2026, center on highs of 99–102°F under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of early August in North Texas. This positions 100–101°F as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, consistent with climatological norms where daily maxima average near 96–99°F but can reach the low 100s without cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus shows minimal variability from steering patterns or moisture advection, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions above 103°F this early in the month. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting only modest forecast uncertainty from potential localized heating variations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 5. August?
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 2%
NEU
$20,170 Vol.
NEU
$20,170 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 2%
NEU
$20,170 Vol.
NEU
$20,170 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
93°F or below
$5,838 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,542 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,774 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$1,451 Vol.
30%
100-101°F
$4,336 Vol.
55%
102-103°F
$1,106 Vol.
15%
104-105°F
$1,230 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$539 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$607 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$292 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Dallas on August 5, 2026, center on highs of 99–102°F under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of early August in North Texas. This positions 100–101°F as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, consistent with climatological norms where daily maxima average near 96–99°F but can reach the low 100s without cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus shows minimal variability from steering patterns or moisture advection, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions above 103°F this early in the month. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting only modest forecast uncertainty from potential localized heating variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$20,170Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Dallas on August 5, 2026, center on highs of 99–102°F under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of early August in North Texas. This positions 100–101°F as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, consistent with climatological norms where daily maxima average near 96–99°F but can reach the low 100s without cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus shows minimal variability from steering patterns or moisture advection, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions above 103°F this early in the month. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting only modest forecast uncertainty from potential localized heating variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,170Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Dallas on August 5, 2026, center on highs of 99–102°F under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of early August in North Texas. This positions 100–101°F as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, consistent with climatological norms where daily maxima average near 96–99°F but can reach the low 100s without cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus shows minimal variability from steering patterns or moisture advection, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions above 103°F this early in the month. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting only modest forecast uncertainty from potential localized heating variations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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