Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 15. August?
35°C 100.0%
29°C oder weniger <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,579 Vol.
$56,579 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
29°C oder weniger
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Ja
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C oder höher
Nein
35°C 100.0%
29°C oder weniger <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,579 Vol.
$56,579 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
29°C oder weniger
$1,392 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$3,809 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$7,291 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$7,435 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$6,287 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$5,808 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$5,427 Vol.
Ja
36°C
$6,129 Vol.
Nein
37°C
$5,974 Vol.
Nein
38°C
$4,312 Vol.
Nein
39°C oder höher
$2,716 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$56,579Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$56,579Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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