Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 4. August?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F oder darunter <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 Vol.
$31,778 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
87°F oder darunter
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Ja
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106°F oder höher
Nein
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F oder darunter <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 Vol.
$31,778 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
87°F oder darunter
$383 Vol.
Nein
88-89°F
$697 Vol.
Nein
90-91°F
$1,776 Vol.
Nein
92-93°F
$2,595 Vol.
Nein
94-95°F
$10,981 Vol.
Ja
96-97°F
$7,832 Vol.
Nein
98-99°F
$3,959 Vol.
Nein
100-101°F
$1,181 Vol.
Nein
102-103°F
$1,283 Vol.
Nein
104-105°F
$498 Vol.
Nein
106°F oder höher
$592 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$31,778Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,778Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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