Recent Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika forecast runs and ensemble models place Jakarta’s May 18 maximum in the narrow 33–34°C range, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Mid-May’s late dry-season transition features rising solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that typically elevates afternoon temperatures, while moderate boundary-layer moisture and light steering winds limit further intensification. Historical BMKG normals for the period show daily highs clustering between 32°C and 35°C, with the urban heat-island effect at Halim Perdanakusuma station adding roughly 1°C above surrounding rural values. Subtle differences in humidity and convective timing create the observed uncertainty, as traders weigh the latest model guidance ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jakarta am 18. Mai?
34°C 42%
33°C 35%
32°C 14%
35°C 9%
$16,053 Vol.
$16,053 Vol.
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
35%
34°C
42%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 35%
32°C 14%
35°C 9%
$16,053 Vol.
$16,053 Vol.
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
35%
34°C
42%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika forecast runs and ensemble models place Jakarta’s May 18 maximum in the narrow 33–34°C range, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Mid-May’s late dry-season transition features rising solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that typically elevates afternoon temperatures, while moderate boundary-layer moisture and light steering winds limit further intensification. Historical BMKG normals for the period show daily highs clustering between 32°C and 35°C, with the urban heat-island effect at Halim Perdanakusuma station adding roughly 1°C above surrounding rural values. Subtle differences in humidity and convective timing create the observed uncertainty, as traders weigh the latest model guidance ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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