Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS project a high of 28–30°C in Jinan on September 11 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's 94% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Persistent high-pressure ridging and dry continental air masses favor strong daytime solar heating typical for early September in Shandong. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing or localized advection could trim the peak by 1–2°C, yet current consensus across sources indicates limited downside risk ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 11. September?
26°C oder höher 94%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
16°C oder niedriger
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C oder höher
94%
26°C oder höher 94%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
16°C oder niedriger
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C oder höher
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS project a high of 28–30°C in Jinan on September 11 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's 94% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Persistent high-pressure ridging and dry continental air masses favor strong daytime solar heating typical for early September in Shandong. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing or localized advection could trim the peak by 1–2°C, yet current consensus across sources indicates limited downside risk ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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