Strong trader consensus around 31°C as the day's maximum in Lucknow stems from consistent official forecasts under active monsoon conditions, with the India Meteorological Department and multiple models projecting overcast skies, scattered rain, and highs capped near 31°C amid high humidity and reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show temperatures running 3–4°C below normal due to widespread cloud cover and precipitation, aligning with climatological expectations for early August in the region where monsoon suppresses extremes. This positioning reflects real-time model consensus from agencies like IMD and international sources, with minimal divergence noted in current runs. A sudden break in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 32–33°C, though such shifts appear unlikely within the remaining daylight hours based on steering patterns and moisture influx.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 5. August?
31°C 83%
32°C 16%
33°C <1%
34°C oder höher <1%
$19,750 Vol.
$19,750 Vol.
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
83%
32°C
16%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 83%
32°C 16%
33°C <1%
34°C oder höher <1%
$19,750 Vol.
$19,750 Vol.
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
83%
32°C
16%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around 31°C as the day's maximum in Lucknow stems from consistent official forecasts under active monsoon conditions, with the India Meteorological Department and multiple models projecting overcast skies, scattered rain, and highs capped near 31°C amid high humidity and reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show temperatures running 3–4°C below normal due to widespread cloud cover and precipitation, aligning with climatological expectations for early August in the region where monsoon suppresses extremes. This positioning reflects real-time model consensus from agencies like IMD and international sources, with minimal divergence noted in current runs. A sudden break in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 32–33°C, though such shifts appear unlikely within the remaining daylight hours based on steering patterns and moisture influx.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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