Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 32°C high on August 10 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chance and typical August variability around 31°C averages. Persistent cloud cover, humidity, and potential low-pressure systems or enhanced rainfall often suppress peak daytime heating below model maxima, positioning 29–31°C as the consensus range. Historical patterns during peak wet-season months show frequent moderation from convective activity, aligning trader-implied probabilities with observed maxima rather than optimistic clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 10. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 10. August?
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
41%
31°C
17%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
2%
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$397 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
3%
28°C
$19 Vol.
13%
29°C
$185 Vol.
32%
30°C
$221 Vol.
41%
31°C
$45 Vol.
17%
32°C
$22 Vol.
5%
33°C
$22 Vol.
2%
34°C oder höher
$22 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 32°C high on August 10 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chance and typical August variability around 31°C averages. Persistent cloud cover, humidity, and potential low-pressure systems or enhanced rainfall often suppress peak daytime heating below model maxima, positioning 29–31°C as the consensus range. Historical patterns during peak wet-season months show frequent moderation from convective activity, aligning trader-implied probabilities with observed maxima rather than optimistic clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,001Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 32°C high on August 10 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chance and typical August variability around 31°C averages. Persistent cloud cover, humidity, and potential low-pressure systems or enhanced rainfall often suppress peak daytime heating below model maxima, positioning 29–31°C as the consensus range. Historical patterns during peak wet-season months show frequent moderation from convective activity, aligning trader-implied probabilities with observed maxima rather than optimistic clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,001Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 32°C high on August 10 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chance and typical August variability around 31°C averages. Persistent cloud cover, humidity, and potential low-pressure systems or enhanced rainfall often suppress peak daytime heating below model maxima, positioning 29–31°C as the consensus range. Historical patterns during peak wet-season months show frequent moderation from convective activity, aligning trader-implied probabilities with observed maxima rather than optimistic clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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