Official observations from Mexico City's meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 7, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This value matches long-term climatological averages for early August, when high pressure and typical rainy-season cloud cover limit daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, producing highs near 23–25°C. Forecast model consensus from prior days reinforced this narrow range, with minimal deviation from advection or convection patterns that could push temperatures higher or lower. While rare measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, the convergence of multiple authoritative data sources makes such shifts highly improbable once the daily maximum is logged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 7. August?
24°C 100.0%
17°C oder weniger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,807 Vol.
$21,807 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
17°C oder weniger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
17°C oder weniger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,807 Vol.
$21,807 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$926 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$720 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$738 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,437 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,447 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,130 Vol.
100%
25°C
$3,043 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,010 Vol.
<1%
27°C oder höher
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Mexico City's meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 7, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This value matches long-term climatological averages for early August, when high pressure and typical rainy-season cloud cover limit daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, producing highs near 23–25°C. Forecast model consensus from prior days reinforced this narrow range, with minimal deviation from advection or convection patterns that could push temperatures higher or lower. While rare measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, the convergence of multiple authoritative data sources makes such shifts highly improbable once the daily maximum is logged.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$21,807Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Mexico City's meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 7, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This value matches long-term climatological averages for early August, when high pressure and typical rainy-season cloud cover limit daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, producing highs near 23–25°C. Forecast model consensus from prior days reinforced this narrow range, with minimal deviation from advection or convection patterns that could push temperatures higher or lower. While rare measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, the convergence of multiple authoritative data sources makes such shifts highly improbable once the daily maximum is logged.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,807Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Mexico City's meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 7, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This value matches long-term climatological averages for early August, when high pressure and typical rainy-season cloud cover limit daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, producing highs near 23–25°C. Forecast model consensus from prior days reinforced this narrow range, with minimal deviation from advection or convection patterns that could push temperatures higher or lower. While rare measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, the convergence of multiple authoritative data sources makes such shifts highly improbable once the daily maximum is logged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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