Latest Environment Canada guidance for Toronto on August 7 points to a high of 27°C under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, a key driver keeping the market-implied probability highest for 26°C. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating and solar radiation, while scattered convection could further suppress peak readings below seasonal norms near 25–26°C. Broader August patterns show variable warmth with periodic thunderstorm activity, and recent model consensus favors modest highs rather than the hotter, clearer conditions that would push toward 28°C or above. Traders weigh these factors against potential clearing or delayed storms that could allow brief spikes, creating the observed spread across 24–27°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 7. August?
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
27°C 17%
24°C 15%
NEU
$14,486 Vol.
NEU
$14,486 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
15%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
17%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
27°C 17%
24°C 15%
NEU
$14,486 Vol.
NEU
$14,486 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$415 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,149 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,523 Vol.
15%
25°C
$1,611 Vol.
25%
26°C
$3,043 Vol.
35%
27°C
$1,160 Vol.
17%
28°C
$2,323 Vol.
7%
29°C
$784 Vol.
2%
30°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$748 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Environment Canada guidance for Toronto on August 7 points to a high of 27°C under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, a key driver keeping the market-implied probability highest for 26°C. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating and solar radiation, while scattered convection could further suppress peak readings below seasonal norms near 25–26°C. Broader August patterns show variable warmth with periodic thunderstorm activity, and recent model consensus favors modest highs rather than the hotter, clearer conditions that would push toward 28°C or above. Traders weigh these factors against potential clearing or delayed storms that could allow brief spikes, creating the observed spread across 24–27°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$14,486Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Environment Canada guidance for Toronto on August 7 points to a high of 27°C under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, a key driver keeping the market-implied probability highest for 26°C. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating and solar radiation, while scattered convection could further suppress peak readings below seasonal norms near 25–26°C. Broader August patterns show variable warmth with periodic thunderstorm activity, and recent model consensus favors modest highs rather than the hotter, clearer conditions that would push toward 28°C or above. Traders weigh these factors against potential clearing or delayed storms that could allow brief spikes, creating the observed spread across 24–27°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,486Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada guidance for Toronto on August 7 points to a high of 27°C under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, a key driver keeping the market-implied probability highest for 26°C. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating and solar radiation, while scattered convection could further suppress peak readings below seasonal norms near 25–26°C. Broader August patterns show variable warmth with periodic thunderstorm activity, and recent model consensus favors modest highs rather than the hotter, clearer conditions that would push toward 28°C or above. Traders weigh these factors against potential clearing or delayed storms that could allow brief spikes, creating the observed spread across 24–27°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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