Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Panama City, Panama, will see typical early-September rainy-season conditions on the 7th, with daytime maxima near 30–32 °C driven by high humidity, scattered convection, and light variable winds. Afternoon thunderstorms are expected to limit peak heating, keeping the most likely outcomes clustered around 31 °C (market-implied 35.5 %) and 32 °C (30 %). Historical September averages of 29–30 °C provide a baseline, while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects model-to-model differences in cloud timing and rainfall intensity rather than any large-scale shift. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services on the 6th will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 7. September?
31°C 36%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C oder höher 16%
23°C oder weniger
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
36%
32°C
28%
33°C oder höher
16%
31°C 36%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C oder höher 16%
23°C oder weniger
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
36%
32°C
28%
33°C oder höher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Panama City, Panama, will see typical early-September rainy-season conditions on the 7th, with daytime maxima near 30–32 °C driven by high humidity, scattered convection, and light variable winds. Afternoon thunderstorms are expected to limit peak heating, keeping the most likely outcomes clustered around 31 °C (market-implied 35.5 %) and 32 °C (30 %). Historical September averages of 29–30 °C provide a baseline, while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects model-to-model differences in cloud timing and rainfall intensity rather than any large-scale shift. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services on the 6th will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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