A cold front advancing into São Paulo over the weekend of September 5–6, followed by a polar air mass, has driven the market-implied odds toward a September 7 overnight low clustered between 8°C and 12°C. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as Climatempo and ECMWF indicate the minimum will likely fall near 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, after daytime maxima reach only 12–14°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and urban heat retention, while model spread arises from small differences in frontal timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 12°C, so this polar outbreak represents a notable but not extreme departure. Updated model runs and observational data through September 6 will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 7. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 7. September?
12°C 49%
15°C oder höher 31%
10°C 31%
9°C 26%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
5°C oder darunter
23%
6°C
19%
7°C
24%
8°C
13%
9°C
26%
10°C
31%
11°C
26%
12°C
49%
13°C
24%
14°C
19%
15°C oder höher
31%
12°C 49%
15°C oder höher 31%
10°C 31%
9°C 26%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
5°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
23%
6°C
$0 Vol.
19%
7°C
$0 Vol.
24%
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
31%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into São Paulo over the weekend of September 5–6, followed by a polar air mass, has driven the market-implied odds toward a September 7 overnight low clustered between 8°C and 12°C. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as Climatempo and ECMWF indicate the minimum will likely fall near 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, after daytime maxima reach only 12–14°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and urban heat retention, while model spread arises from small differences in frontal timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 12°C, so this polar outbreak represents a notable but not extreme departure. Updated model runs and observational data through September 6 will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into São Paulo over the weekend of September 5–6, followed by a polar air mass, has driven the market-implied odds toward a September 7 overnight low clustered between 8°C and 12°C. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as Climatempo and ECMWF indicate the minimum will likely fall near 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, after daytime maxima reach only 12–14°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and urban heat retention, while model spread arises from small differences in frontal timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 12°C, so this polar outbreak represents a notable but not extreme departure. Updated model runs and observational data through September 6 will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing into São Paulo over the weekend of September 5–6, followed by a polar air mass, has driven the market-implied odds toward a September 7 overnight low clustered between 8°C and 12°C. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as Climatempo and ECMWF indicate the minimum will likely fall near 9–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, after daytime maxima reach only 12–14°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and urban heat retention, while model spread arises from small differences in frontal timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 12°C, so this polar outbreak represents a notable but not extreme departure. Updated model runs and observational data through September 6 will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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