Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 8. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 8. Mai?
29°C 100.0%
23°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$104,497 Vol.
$104,497 Vol.
8. Mai 2026
23°C oder weniger
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Nein
29°C 100.0%
23°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$104,497 Vol.
$104,497 Vol.
8. Mai 2026
23°C oder weniger
$2,999 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$3,428 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$3,232 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$14,013 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$8,486 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$27,357 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$8,291 Vol.
Ja
30°C
$9,849 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$8,261 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$6,653 Vol.
Nein
33°C oder höher
$11,927 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$104,497Enddatum
8. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$104,497Enddatum
8. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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