Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 19. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 19. Mai?
18°C 31%
19°C 18%
16°C 13%
17°C 13%
NEU
NEU
19. Mai 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
31%
19°C
18%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
4%
18°C 31%
19°C 18%
16°C 13%
17°C 13%
NEU
NEU
19. Mai 2026
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
1%
15°C
$120 Vol.
8%
16°C
$17 Vol.
13%
17°C
$10 Vol.
13%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$10 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$360Enddatum
19. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$360Enddatum
19. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent short-range forecast models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles show maximum temperatures in São Paulo hovering near 18°C on May 19, with limited spread between 17°C and 19°C driven by a passing frontal system and associated cloud cover that is moderating daytime heating. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities around the historical May average high of 21–23°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in how quickly the cooler air mass will clear and allow greater solar warming. Traders are also weighing typical autumn variability, including potential afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 20°C, while any faster clearing or stronger subsidence would favor the upper end of the range. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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