Forecast guidance from Chinese and international meteorological agencies points to afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25 under subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that favors strong surface heating across the Henan plain. This aligns with climatological norms, where late-August maxima routinely reach or exceed 32°C. The near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this consensus in official model runs and real-time observations. A rapid increase in convective cloudiness or unexpected rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current steering patterns and stability make such a shift unlikely before peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 25. August?
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
$12,182 Vol.
NEU
$12,182 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
$12,182 Vol.
NEU
$12,182 Vol.
25. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,189 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,285 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$630 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$631 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$354 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast guidance from Chinese and international meteorological agencies points to afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25 under subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that favors strong surface heating across the Henan plain. This aligns with climatological norms, where late-August maxima routinely reach or exceed 32°C. The near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this consensus in official model runs and real-time observations. A rapid increase in convective cloudiness or unexpected rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current steering patterns and stability make such a shift unlikely before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$12,182Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast guidance from Chinese and international meteorological agencies points to afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25 under subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that favors strong surface heating across the Henan plain. This aligns with climatological norms, where late-August maxima routinely reach or exceed 32°C. The near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this consensus in official model runs and real-time observations. A rapid increase in convective cloudiness or unexpected rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current steering patterns and stability make such a shift unlikely before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,182Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast guidance from Chinese and international meteorological agencies points to afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25 under subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that favors strong surface heating across the Henan plain. This aligns with climatological norms, where late-August maxima routinely reach or exceed 32°C. The near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this consensus in official model runs and real-time observations. A rapid increase in convective cloudiness or unexpected rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current steering patterns and stability make such a shift unlikely before peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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