Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Erdbeben vom 8. Juni bis 14. Juni mit 6,5 oder mehr?
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 5.9%
$14,640 Vol.
$14,640 Vol.
0
30%
1
41%
2
26%
3
6%
4
4%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 5.9%
$14,640 Vol.
$14,640 Vol.
0
30%
1
41%
2
26%
3
6%
4
4%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent M7.8 and M6.5 earthquakes on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Celebes Sea near the Philippines, both confirmed by USGS records, have already occurred within the June 8–14 window and anchor trader consensus around one or two total events. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages roughly 0.4–1 per week based on long-term USGS data, with additional occurrences possible from aftershock sequences or independent activity along subduction zones. Short-term seismic forecasting carries high uncertainty, and ongoing USGS monitoring through June 14 will determine final resolution as new detections above magnitude 6.5 would shift outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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