Recent meteorological forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models position 12–13°C as the most probable overnight minimum in Ankara on September 19, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, with no strong cold advection or significant moisture to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus reflected in the 90% implied probability on 12°C aligns with this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty from local urban heat effects or final station readings. Historical mid-September averages near 14°C provide context for the slightly cooler outcome expected today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 19. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Ankara am 19. September?
12°C 99%
11°C 94%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
$1,605 Vol.
$1,605 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Ja
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
12°C 99%
11°C 94%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
$1,605 Vol.
$1,605 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
9°C oder weniger
$41 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$0 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$25 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$188 Vol.
Ja
13°C
$658 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$257 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$149 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$37 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$37 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$107 Vol.
Nein
19°C oder höher
$107 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models position 12–13°C as the most probable overnight minimum in Ankara on September 19, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, with no strong cold advection or significant moisture to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus reflected in the 90% implied probability on 12°C aligns with this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty from local urban heat effects or final station readings. Historical mid-September averages near 14°C provide context for the slightly cooler outcome expected today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,605Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models position 12–13°C as the most probable overnight minimum in Ankara on September 19, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, with no strong cold advection or significant moisture to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus reflected in the 90% implied probability on 12°C aligns with this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty from local urban heat effects or final station readings. Historical mid-September averages near 14°C provide context for the slightly cooler outcome expected today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,605Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent meteorological forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models position 12–13°C as the most probable overnight minimum in Ankara on September 19, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, with no strong cold advection or significant moisture to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus reflected in the 90% implied probability on 12°C aligns with this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty from local urban heat effects or final station readings. Historical mid-September averages near 14°C provide context for the slightly cooler outcome expected today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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