Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 8. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 8. September?
18°C 99.5%
12°C oder weniger 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$2,669 Vol.
$2,669 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Ja
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C oder höher
Nein
18°C 99.5%
12°C oder weniger 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$2,669 Vol.
$2,669 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$117 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$449 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$135 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$69 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$117 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$67 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$140 Vol.
Ja
19°C
$115 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$145 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$225 Vol.
Nein
22°C oder höher
$1,090 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,669Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,669Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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