Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and GFS runs show London overnight temperatures bottoming out near 12–13 °C on 1 September under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal climatological low of ~12.8 °C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly signaled in recent outlooks for southern England. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours with limited spread, concentrating trader probability on 13 °C (42 %) and 14 °C (26 %) as the most likely recorded minima; cooler 12 °C or warmer 15 °C outcomes would require either greater radiative cooling or unexpected cloud cover changes. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing on Tuesday morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 1. September?
13°C 42%
14°C 26%
11°C 18%
10°C 15%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
8°C oder weniger
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
15%
11°C
18%
12°C
15%
13°C
42%
14°C
26%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C oder höher
2%
13°C 42%
14°C 26%
11°C 18%
10°C 15%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
8°C oder weniger
$36 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$163 Vol.
1%
10°C
$31 Vol.
15%
11°C
$66 Vol.
18%
12°C
$119 Vol.
15%
13°C
$247 Vol.
42%
14°C
$163 Vol.
26%
15°C
$76 Vol.
9%
16°C
$36 Vol.
8%
17°C
$20 Vol.
2%
18°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and GFS runs show London overnight temperatures bottoming out near 12–13 °C on 1 September under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal climatological low of ~12.8 °C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly signaled in recent outlooks for southern England. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours with limited spread, concentrating trader probability on 13 °C (42 %) and 14 °C (26 %) as the most likely recorded minima; cooler 12 °C or warmer 15 °C outcomes would require either greater radiative cooling or unexpected cloud cover changes. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing on Tuesday morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$967Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and GFS runs show London overnight temperatures bottoming out near 12–13 °C on 1 September under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal climatological low of ~12.8 °C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly signaled in recent outlooks for southern England. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours with limited spread, concentrating trader probability on 13 °C (42 %) and 14 °C (26 %) as the most likely recorded minima; cooler 12 °C or warmer 15 °C outcomes would require either greater radiative cooling or unexpected cloud cover changes. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing on Tuesday morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$967Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and GFS runs show London overnight temperatures bottoming out near 12–13 °C on 1 September under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal climatological low of ~12.8 °C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly signaled in recent outlooks for southern England. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours with limited spread, concentrating trader probability on 13 °C (42 %) and 14 °C (26 %) as the most likely recorded minima; cooler 12 °C or warmer 15 °C outcomes would require either greater radiative cooling or unexpected cloud cover changes. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing on Tuesday morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen