Recent Met Office and European model consensus points to a Monday minimum of 14–15 °C in London, driven by a westerly breeze of 10–15 mph that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under broken cloud cover. Scattered showers and higher dew points overnight further moderate temperature drops, while daytime maxima near 22 °C keep the diurnal range modest. With resolution hinging on the official overnight low reported by the Met Office, traders have concentrated probability on 15 °C and 16 °C, reflecting the narrow but genuine forecast spread between guidance runs. Updated model output ahead of the weekend will determine whether clearer skies or stronger winds shift the implied minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 31. August?
15°C 44%
16°C 37%
14°C 14%
13°C 9%
10°C oder darunter
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
5%
13°C
9%
14°C
14%
15°C
44%
16°C
37%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C oder höher
1%
15°C 44%
16°C 37%
14°C 14%
13°C 9%
10°C oder darunter
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
5%
13°C
9%
14°C
14%
15°C
44%
16°C
37%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model consensus points to a Monday minimum of 14–15 °C in London, driven by a westerly breeze of 10–15 mph that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under broken cloud cover. Scattered showers and higher dew points overnight further moderate temperature drops, while daytime maxima near 22 °C keep the diurnal range modest. With resolution hinging on the official overnight low reported by the Met Office, traders have concentrated probability on 15 °C and 16 °C, reflecting the narrow but genuine forecast spread between guidance runs. Updated model output ahead of the weekend will determine whether clearer skies or stronger winds shift the implied minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen