Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover over southern England, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting an overnight minimum near 16–18°C in central London on 29 August. This pattern aligns with above-average late-summer temperatures, where the urban heat island and lack of clear skies keep the lowest reading from falling to the climatological 13°C average. With resolution imminent as the calendar day closes, trader consensus has coalesced around 18°C as the most probable minimum, reflected in its dominant 55.5% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent any sudden model shift or clearing that could enhance cooling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 29. August?
17°C 4%
16°C 1.7%
14°C <1%
12°C oder darunter <1%
$9,293 Vol.
$9,293 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
53%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 4%
16°C 1.7%
14°C <1%
12°C oder darunter <1%
$9,293 Vol.
$9,293 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$260 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$624 Vol.
1%
15°C
$775 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,883 Vol.
2%
17°C
$2,381 Vol.
4%
18°C
$1,186 Vol.
53%
19°C
$590 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover over southern England, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting an overnight minimum near 16–18°C in central London on 29 August. This pattern aligns with above-average late-summer temperatures, where the urban heat island and lack of clear skies keep the lowest reading from falling to the climatological 13°C average. With resolution imminent as the calendar day closes, trader consensus has coalesced around 18°C as the most probable minimum, reflected in its dominant 55.5% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent any sudden model shift or clearing that could enhance cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$9,293Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover over southern England, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting an overnight minimum near 16–18°C in central London on 29 August. This pattern aligns with above-average late-summer temperatures, where the urban heat island and lack of clear skies keep the lowest reading from falling to the climatological 13°C average. With resolution imminent as the calendar day closes, trader consensus has coalesced around 18°C as the most probable minimum, reflected in its dominant 55.5% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent any sudden model shift or clearing that could enhance cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,293Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover over southern England, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting an overnight minimum near 16–18°C in central London on 29 August. This pattern aligns with above-average late-summer temperatures, where the urban heat island and lack of clear skies keep the lowest reading from falling to the climatological 13°C average. With resolution imminent as the calendar day closes, trader consensus has coalesced around 18°C as the most probable minimum, reflected in its dominant 55.5% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain sidelined absent any sudden model shift or clearing that could enhance cooling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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