Recent forecast guidance for Madrid indicates minimum temperatures on August 25 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and surface radiative cooling under partly clear skies. Numerical models show modest spread in the exact low, with GFS and ECMWF runs sensitive to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that limit or enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology places the typical August 25 minimum near 18–19°C, so the near-even market odds between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur relative to recent warmer nights. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 25. August?
25°C or higher 84%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
15°C or below 47%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
47%
16°C
28%
17°C
32%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
5%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
84%
25°C or higher 84%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
15°C or below 47%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
32%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$4 Vol.
26%
22°C
$4 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5 Vol.
50%
24°C
$5 Vol.
50%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Madrid indicates minimum temperatures on August 25 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and surface radiative cooling under partly clear skies. Numerical models show modest spread in the exact low, with GFS and ECMWF runs sensitive to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that limit or enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology places the typical August 25 minimum near 18–19°C, so the near-even market odds between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur relative to recent warmer nights. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$23Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Madrid indicates minimum temperatures on August 25 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and surface radiative cooling under partly clear skies. Numerical models show modest spread in the exact low, with GFS and ECMWF runs sensitive to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that limit or enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology places the typical August 25 minimum near 18–19°C, so the near-even market odds between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur relative to recent warmer nights. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Madrid indicates minimum temperatures on August 25 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and surface radiative cooling under partly clear skies. Numerical models show modest spread in the exact low, with GFS and ECMWF runs sensitive to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that limit or enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology places the typical August 25 minimum near 18–19°C, so the near-even market odds between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur relative to recent warmer nights. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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