Latest ensemble forecasts from major models project Milan’s minimum temperature on September 16 near 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and a modest chance of evening showers. This consensus stems from stable high pressure and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, though timing of any cloud increases or scattered thunderstorms could trim the low by 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–18 °C because traders weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects against climatological September minima near 15 °C. Resolution hinges on official Milan observations, with new 00Z and 12Z model runs expected to refine the exact threshold before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 16. September?
13°C oder darunter 50%
23°C oder höher 50%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
13°C oder darunter
50%
14°C
20%
15°C
11%
16°C
25%
17°C
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C oder höher
50%
13°C oder darunter 50%
23°C oder höher 50%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
13°C oder darunter
50%
14°C
20%
15°C
11%
16°C
25%
17°C
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C oder höher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models project Milan’s minimum temperature on September 16 near 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and a modest chance of evening showers. This consensus stems from stable high pressure and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, though timing of any cloud increases or scattered thunderstorms could trim the low by 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–18 °C because traders weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects against climatological September minima near 15 °C. Resolution hinges on official Milan observations, with new 00Z and 12Z model runs expected to refine the exact threshold before midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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