Recent forecasts from sources including BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Shanghai on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in the region’s subtropical climate. These conditions align with typical early-summer patterns influenced by the East Asian monsoon, where average June lows range 20–25°C and models show limited day-to-day variability ahead of resolution. Trader consensus favoring the 24°C outcome at 41.5% reflects agreement across updated model runs, while nearby probabilities for 22°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late showers that could slightly alter the diurnal range. Official observations from Shanghai Pudong station will determine the precise low, with final data expected shortly after midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 18. Juni?
24°C 41%
22°C 29.2%
23°C 29%
25°C 3.5%
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
41%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 41%
22°C 29.2%
23°C 29%
25°C 3.5%
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
41%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Shanghai on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in the region’s subtropical climate. These conditions align with typical early-summer patterns influenced by the East Asian monsoon, where average June lows range 20–25°C and models show limited day-to-day variability ahead of resolution. Trader consensus favoring the 24°C outcome at 41.5% reflects agreement across updated model runs, while nearby probabilities for 22°C and 23°C capture residual uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late showers that could slightly alter the diurnal range. Official observations from Shanghai Pudong station will determine the precise low, with final data expected shortly after midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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