**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 24°C as the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5, 2026, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and the latest forecast guidance.** Early August in Tokyo features typical overnight lows of 23–25°C driven by the urban heat island effect, persistent subtropical high pressure, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models indicate a minimum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to showery conditions, with daytime highs climbing to 28–32°C. This narrow range around the long-term August average low of approximately 24°C leaves little room for deviation on a single day. A realistic challenge would require an atypical synoptic shift—such as an unseasonably strong frontal passage or enhanced northerly flow—that drops the minimum below 23°C, an outcome historically rare in Tokyo during peak summer and unsupported by current model consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 5. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 5. August?
24°C 99.0%
23°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$10,677 Vol.
$10,677 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 99.0%
23°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$10,677 Vol.
$10,677 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
$297 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,956 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,660 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,377 Vol.
99%
25°C
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$891 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
28°C oder höher
$359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 24°C as the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5, 2026, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and the latest forecast guidance.**
Early August in Tokyo features typical overnight lows of 23–25°C driven by the urban heat island effect, persistent subtropical high pressure, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models indicate a minimum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to showery conditions, with daytime highs climbing to 28–32°C. This narrow range around the long-term August average low of approximately 24°C leaves little room for deviation on a single day.
A realistic challenge would require an atypical synoptic shift—such as an unseasonably strong frontal passage or enhanced northerly flow—that drops the minimum below 23°C, an outcome historically rare in Tokyo during peak summer and unsupported by current model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$10,677Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 24°C as the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5, 2026, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and the latest forecast guidance.**
Early August in Tokyo features typical overnight lows of 23–25°C driven by the urban heat island effect, persistent subtropical high pressure, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models indicate a minimum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to showery conditions, with daytime highs climbing to 28–32°C. This narrow range around the long-term August average low of approximately 24°C leaves little room for deviation on a single day.
A realistic challenge would require an atypical synoptic shift—such as an unseasonably strong frontal passage or enhanced northerly flow—that drops the minimum below 23°C, an outcome historically rare in Tokyo during peak summer and unsupported by current model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,677Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 24°C as the lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5, 2026, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and the latest forecast guidance.** Early August in Tokyo features typical overnight lows of 23–25°C driven by the urban heat island effect, persistent subtropical high pressure, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models indicate a minimum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to showery conditions, with daytime highs climbing to 28–32°C. This narrow range around the long-term August average low of approximately 24°C leaves little room for deviation on a single day. A realistic challenge would require an atypical synoptic shift—such as an unseasonably strong frontal passage or enhanced northerly flow—that drops the minimum below 23°C, an outcome historically rare in Tokyo during peak summer and unsupported by current model consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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