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Geopolitics·Iran

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

icon for Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
Geopolitics·Iran

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

5% Chance
Polymarket

$17,109 Vol.

5% Chance
Polymarket

$17,109 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Nechirvan Barzani remains the Kurdistan Region President, elected by parliament in 2019 and backed by the dominant Kurdistan Democratic Party, with no parliamentary vote, term expiration, or institutional challenge reported as of mid-June 2026. He continues active duties, including diplomatic engagements in Baghdad on government formation, meetings with foreign envoys, and public statements on regional stability and Iraq-Kurdistan relations. This continuity, reinforced by KDP influence and the absence of rival party pressure or electoral deadlines, underpins traders' 95%+ consensus against removal. Potential shifts could arise from internal KDP dynamics, renewed tensions with the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, or major developments in Iraqi federal politics that alter power-sharing arrangements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$17,109
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Nechirvan Barzani remains the Kurdistan Region President, elected by parliament in 2019 and backed by the dominant Kurdistan Democratic Party, with no parliamentary vote, term expiration, or institutional challenge reported as of mid-June 2026. He continues active duties, including diplomatic engagements in Baghdad on government formation, meetings with foreign envoys, and public statements on regional stability and Iraq-Kurdistan relations. This continuity, reinforced by KDP influence and the absence of rival party pressure or electoral deadlines, underpins traders' 95%+ consensus against removal. Potential shifts could arise from internal KDP dynamics, renewed tensions with the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, or major developments in Iraqi federal politics that alter power-sharing arrangements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$17,128
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 5% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 5¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 5%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $17.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 6, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?" liegt bei 5% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 5% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.