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Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

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Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,988,669 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,988,669 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$898,424 Vol.

23%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$708,125 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$558,371 Vol.

11%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$527,984 Vol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,208,292 Vol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,158,812 Vol.

5%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,022,979 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,243,431 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,368,522 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$842,989 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,306,716 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,482,641 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$901,517 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,800 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,376,548 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,271,109 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,099,328 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,640,828 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$755,531 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,733,196 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,197,266 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,591,155 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,849,926 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,567,718 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,133,894 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,168,966 Vol.

1%

icon for Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

$3,072,904 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,837,881 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,588,850 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,368,532 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,709,973 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

$3,010,363 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,299,678 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

$2,535,972 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,409,230 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

$3,802,145 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented French political landscape ahead of the April 2027 presidential election keeps probabilities tightly clustered among leading contenders. Jordan Bardella draws support from sustained strength for the Rassemblement National in recent opinion surveys and municipal voting, while Édouard Philippe benefits from his mayoral reelection and positioning as a centrist alternative capable of consolidating moderate votes in potential runoffs. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s recent formal entry into the race on the radical left adds further dispersion, and Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal restrictions limit her viability. Trader consensus in this early stage reflects the broad field of declared or potential candidates, historical patterns of late shifts in French first-round voting, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner capable of securing a clear majority path. Upcoming developments such as the resolution of Le Pen’s appeal or further coalition realignments on the center-right and left could widen gaps among these contenders.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$72,988,669
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The fragmented French political landscape ahead of the April 2027 presidential election keeps probabilities tightly clustered among leading contenders. Jordan Bardella draws support from sustained strength for the Rassemblement National in recent opinion surveys and municipal voting, while Édouard Philippe benefits from his mayoral reelection and positioning as a centrist alternative capable of consolidating moderate votes in potential runoffs. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s recent formal entry into the race on the radical left adds further dispersion, and Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal restrictions limit her viability. Trader consensus in this early stage reflects the broad field of declared or potential candidates, historical patterns of late shifts in French first-round voting, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner capable of securing a clear majority path. Upcoming developments such as the resolution of Le Pen’s appeal or further coalition realignments on the center-right and left could widen gaps among these contenders.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$72,988,669
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 23%, gefolgt von „Édouard Philippe" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 23¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $73 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 23%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 23% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.