Current below-normal precipitation accumulation of roughly 1.2–1.24 inches through mid-June, paired with the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for warmer and drier conditions across the Pacific Northwest, anchors trader sentiment around the 1–2.5 inch range. Seattle’s June climatology shows a declining rainfall trend as the subtropical high strengthens and storm tracks shift northward, typically yielding 1.45–1.88 inches total at Sea-Tac. Recent model consensus favors limited late-month showers, reducing upside risk for totals above 2.5 inches while keeping sub-1 inch outcomes unlikely barring an atypical dry spell. Resolution hinges on remaining National Weather Service observations through June 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPrecipitation in Seattle in June?
1-1.5" 33%
2-2.5" 27%
2.5-3" 26%
1.5-2" 25%
1-1.5"
33%
2-2.5"
38%
2.5-3"
26%
1.5-2"
25%
>3"
23%
<0.5"
6%
0.5-1"
<1%
1-1.5" 33%
2-2.5" 27%
2.5-3" 26%
1.5-2" 25%
1-1.5"
33%
2-2.5"
38%
2.5-3"
26%
1.5-2"
25%
>3"
23%
<0.5"
6%
0.5-1"
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current below-normal precipitation accumulation of roughly 1.2–1.24 inches through mid-June, paired with the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for warmer and drier conditions across the Pacific Northwest, anchors trader sentiment around the 1–2.5 inch range. Seattle’s June climatology shows a declining rainfall trend as the subtropical high strengthens and storm tracks shift northward, typically yielding 1.45–1.88 inches total at Sea-Tac. Recent model consensus favors limited late-month showers, reducing upside risk for totals above 2.5 inches while keeping sub-1 inch outcomes unlikely barring an atypical dry spell. Resolution hinges on remaining National Weather Service observations through June 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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