Trump’s job approval has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s range through early July 2026, with recent weekly aggregates showing modest gains from roughly –19 to –18 net. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, energy prices, and cost-of-living concerns, continue to weigh on public sentiment, while diplomatic developments around Iran and routine July 4th messaging have produced only incremental movement. With just one week until the July 10 measurement date and no scheduled high-impact events or major policy announcements on the immediate horizon, polling averages have shown limited volatility. Traders therefore see roughly even odds across narrow bands clustered near current levels, reflecting the historical tendency of presidential approval to move gradually absent sudden catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert40.0–40.4 45%
40.5–40.9 45%
<39.0 45%
39.5–39.9 45%
NEU
NEU
10. Juli 2026
<39.0
45%
39.0–39.4
45%
39.5–39.9
45%
40.0–40.4
45%
40.5–40.9
45%
41.0+
45%
40.0–40.4 45%
40.5–40.9 45%
<39.0 45%
39.5–39.9 45%
NEU
NEU
10. Juli 2026
<39.0
$0 Vol.
45%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
45%
39.5–39.9
$0 Vol.
45%
40.0–40.4
$0 Vol.
45%
40.5–40.9
$0 Vol.
45%
41.0+
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s job approval has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s range through early July 2026, with recent weekly aggregates showing modest gains from roughly –19 to –18 net. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, energy prices, and cost-of-living concerns, continue to weigh on public sentiment, while diplomatic developments around Iran and routine July 4th messaging have produced only incremental movement. With just one week until the July 10 measurement date and no scheduled high-impact events or major policy announcements on the immediate horizon, polling averages have shown limited volatility. Traders therefore see roughly even odds across narrow bands clustered near current levels, reflecting the historical tendency of presidential approval to move gradually absent sudden catalysts.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 3, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
10. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 3, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s job approval has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s range through early July 2026, with recent weekly aggregates showing modest gains from roughly –19 to –18 net. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, energy prices, and cost-of-living concerns, continue to weigh on public sentiment, while diplomatic developments around Iran and routine July 4th messaging have produced only incremental movement. With just one week until the July 10 measurement date and no scheduled high-impact events or major policy announcements on the immediate horizon, polling averages have shown limited volatility. Traders therefore see roughly even odds across narrow bands clustered near current levels, reflecting the historical tendency of presidential approval to move gradually absent sudden catalysts.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
10. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 3, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s job approval has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s range through early July 2026, with recent weekly aggregates showing modest gains from roughly –19 to –18 net. Persistent economic pressures, including inflation, energy prices, and cost-of-living concerns, continue to weigh on public sentiment, while diplomatic developments around Iran and routine July 4th messaging have produced only incremental movement. With just one week until the July 10 measurement date and no scheduled high-impact events or major policy announcements on the immediate horizon, polling averages have shown limited volatility. Traders therefore see roughly even odds across narrow bands clustered near current levels, reflecting the historical tendency of presidential approval to move gradually absent sudden catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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