Recent national polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with figures ranging from 33% to 42% across surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, NBC, and others. Persistent economic concerns, including cost-of-living pressures and voter pessimism about tariffs and trade policy, continue to weigh on support, particularly among independents. Approaching November midterms add volatility as candidates calibrate messaging around the president’s standing. The tight distribution of market probabilities across the 37–39% bins reflects this narrow recent range and limited immediate catalysts before September 18, while any new economic releases, legislative moves, or foreign-policy developments could shift the final reading within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert38,0–38,4 33%
37,5–37,9 31%
38,5–38,9 28%
37,0–37,4 21%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
<37,0
20%
37,0–37,4
21%
37,5–37,9
31%
38,0–38,4
33%
38,5–38,9
28%
39,0+
18%
38,0–38,4 33%
37,5–37,9 31%
38,5–38,9 28%
37,0–37,4 21%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
<37,0
$0 Vol.
20%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
21%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
31%
38,0–38,4
$0 Vol.
33%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
28%
39,0+
$5 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with figures ranging from 33% to 42% across surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, NBC, and others. Persistent economic concerns, including cost-of-living pressures and voter pessimism about tariffs and trade policy, continue to weigh on support, particularly among independents. Approaching November midterms add volatility as candidates calibrate messaging around the president’s standing. The tight distribution of market probabilities across the 37–39% bins reflects this narrow recent range and limited immediate catalysts before September 18, while any new economic releases, legislative moves, or foreign-policy developments could shift the final reading within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volumen
$5Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with figures ranging from 33% to 42% across surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, NBC, and others. Persistent economic concerns, including cost-of-living pressures and voter pessimism about tariffs and trade policy, continue to weigh on support, particularly among independents. Approaching November midterms add volatility as candidates calibrate messaging around the president’s standing. The tight distribution of market probabilities across the 37–39% bins reflects this narrow recent range and limited immediate catalysts before September 18, while any new economic releases, legislative moves, or foreign-policy developments could shift the final reading within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$5Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with figures ranging from 33% to 42% across surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, NBC, and others. Persistent economic concerns, including cost-of-living pressures and voter pessimism about tariffs and trade policy, continue to weigh on support, particularly among independents. Approaching November midterms add volatility as candidates calibrate messaging around the president’s standing. The tight distribution of market probabilities across the 37–39% bins reflects this narrow recent range and limited immediate catalysts before September 18, while any new economic releases, legislative moves, or foreign-policy developments could shift the final reading within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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