Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with individual surveys showing 33–36 percent amid persistent economic discontent and the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran. Traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because recent data from outlets such as Silver Bulletin, the New York Times, and RealClearPolitics cluster near that level, while lower and higher bands receive less weight. The Iran war, now past six months, continues to weigh on gasoline prices and broader cost-of-living perceptions, eroding support even among some Republicans. Upcoming midterm elections add visibility to these readings, though no major new catalyst has shifted the narrow band in the past week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert38,0–38,4 52%
38,5–38,9 30%
37,5–37,9 15%
39,0–39,4 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
<37,5
<1%
37,5–37,9
15%
38,0–38,4
52%
38,5–38,9
30%
39,0–39,4
7%
39,5+
1%
38,0–38,4 52%
38,5–38,9 30%
37,5–37,9 15%
39,0–39,4 7%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
<37,5
$697 Vol.
<1%
37,5–37,9
$896 Vol.
15%
38,0–38,4
$2,011 Vol.
52%
38,5–38,9
$1,338 Vol.
30%
39,0–39,4
$650 Vol.
7%
39,5+
$312 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with individual surveys showing 33–36 percent amid persistent economic discontent and the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran. Traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because recent data from outlets such as Silver Bulletin, the New York Times, and RealClearPolitics cluster near that level, while lower and higher bands receive less weight. The Iran war, now past six months, continues to weigh on gasoline prices and broader cost-of-living perceptions, eroding support even among some Republicans. Upcoming midterm elections add visibility to these readings, though no major new catalyst has shifted the narrow band in the past week.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volumen
$5,904Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with individual surveys showing 33–36 percent amid persistent economic discontent and the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran. Traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because recent data from outlets such as Silver Bulletin, the New York Times, and RealClearPolitics cluster near that level, while lower and higher bands receive less weight. The Iran war, now past six months, continues to weigh on gasoline prices and broader cost-of-living perceptions, eroding support even among some Republicans. Upcoming midterm elections add visibility to these readings, though no major new catalyst has shifted the narrow band in the past week.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$5,904Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with individual surveys showing 33–36 percent amid persistent economic discontent and the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran. Traders assign the highest probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because recent data from outlets such as Silver Bulletin, the New York Times, and RealClearPolitics cluster near that level, while lower and higher bands receive less weight. The Iran war, now past six months, continues to weigh on gasoline prices and broader cost-of-living perceptions, eroding support even among some Republicans. Upcoming midterm elections add visibility to these readings, though no major new catalyst has shifted the narrow band in the past week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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