The near-certainty reflected in current trader pricing stems from the lack of active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment as of early September 2026, combined with the short timeline of roughly 27 days remaining. Standard removal processes require Senate trials or congressional action that cannot realistically conclude before September 30 absent extraordinary, unforeseen developments. Historical patterns show presidential departures mid-term occur only under sustained crises or health emergencies, neither of which appear imminent. While sudden medical events, major scandals prompting voluntary exit, or rapid institutional shifts could theoretically intervene, these remain low-probability outliers given the current political calendar and absence of triggering conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
1% Chance
NEU
$30,631 Vol.
NEU
$30,631 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
Ja
1% Chance
NEU
$30,631 Vol.
NEU
$30,631 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certainty reflected in current trader pricing stems from the lack of active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment as of early September 2026, combined with the short timeline of roughly 27 days remaining. Standard removal processes require Senate trials or congressional action that cannot realistically conclude before September 30 absent extraordinary, unforeseen developments. Historical patterns show presidential departures mid-term occur only under sustained crises or health emergencies, neither of which appear imminent. While sudden medical events, major scandals prompting voluntary exit, or rapid institutional shifts could theoretically intervene, these remain low-probability outliers given the current political calendar and absence of triggering conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volumen
$30,631Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certainty reflected in current trader pricing stems from the lack of active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment as of early September 2026, combined with the short timeline of roughly 27 days remaining. Standard removal processes require Senate trials or congressional action that cannot realistically conclude before September 30 absent extraordinary, unforeseen developments. Historical patterns show presidential departures mid-term occur only under sustained crises or health emergencies, neither of which appear imminent. While sudden medical events, major scandals prompting voluntary exit, or rapid institutional shifts could theoretically intervene, these remain low-probability outliers given the current political calendar and absence of triggering conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$30,631Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...The near-certainty reflected in current trader pricing stems from the lack of active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment as of early September 2026, combined with the short timeline of roughly 27 days remaining. Standard removal processes require Senate trials or congressional action that cannot realistically conclude before September 30 absent extraordinary, unforeseen developments. Historical patterns show presidential departures mid-term occur only under sustained crises or health emergencies, neither of which appear imminent. While sudden medical events, major scandals prompting voluntary exit, or rapid institutional shifts could theoretically intervene, these remain low-probability outliers given the current political calendar and absence of triggering conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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