Recent national polls through late August place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregator averages such as RealClearPolitics near 40% and individual surveys ranging from 33% in Reuters/Ipsos to 43% in Rasmussen Reports. These readings have remained largely stable over the past several weeks amid persistent public concerns over the economy, inflation, and foreign policy, including the ongoing Iran situation. With the September 4 measurement only days away, limited new data and typical short-term polling consistency position the 37.5–38.9 ranges as the trader consensus implied probabilities. Historical patterns for presidential approval show modest week-to-week movement absent major events.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert38,0–38,4 41%
38,5–38,9 31%
37,5–37,9 28%
37,0–37,4 23%
<37,0
9%
37,0–37,4
23%
37,5–37,9
28%
38,0–38,4
41%
38,5–38,9
31%
39,0+
15%
38,0–38,4 41%
38,5–38,9 31%
37,5–37,9 28%
37,0–37,4 23%
<37,0
9%
37,0–37,4
23%
37,5–37,9
28%
38,0–38,4
41%
38,5–38,9
31%
39,0+
15%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls through late August place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with aggregator averages such as RealClearPolitics near 40% and individual surveys ranging from 33% in Reuters/Ipsos to 43% in Rasmussen Reports. These readings have remained largely stable over the past several weeks amid persistent public concerns over the economy, inflation, and foreign policy, including the ongoing Iran situation. With the September 4 measurement only days away, limited new data and typical short-term polling consistency position the 37.5–38.9 ranges as the trader consensus implied probabilities. Historical patterns for presidential approval show modest week-to-week movement absent major events.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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