Recent failed House impeachment efforts, including the September 2026 tabling of articles over immigration enforcement and related incidents, underscore limited congressional momentum for removal despite Democratic divisions and Republican majorities. Official medical reports from May 2026 described Trump as in excellent health with normal cognitive screening, countering public concerns about his age and stamina amid an ongoing Iran conflict and cabinet adjustments. No successful 25th Amendment invocation or resignation signals have emerged, and midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 fall outside the 2026 calendar year. These dynamics reinforce trader consensus on continuity through year-end absent unforeseen constitutional or health triggers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
6% Chance
$11,732,064 Vol.
$11,732,064 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
6% Chance
$11,732,064 Vol.
$11,732,064 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent failed House impeachment efforts, including the September 2026 tabling of articles over immigration enforcement and related incidents, underscore limited congressional momentum for removal despite Democratic divisions and Republican majorities. Official medical reports from May 2026 described Trump as in excellent health with normal cognitive screening, countering public concerns about his age and stamina amid an ongoing Iran conflict and cabinet adjustments. No successful 25th Amendment invocation or resignation signals have emerged, and midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 fall outside the 2026 calendar year. These dynamics reinforce trader consensus on continuity through year-end absent unforeseen constitutional or health triggers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$11,732,064Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent failed House impeachment efforts, including the September 2026 tabling of articles over immigration enforcement and related incidents, underscore limited congressional momentum for removal despite Democratic divisions and Republican majorities. Official medical reports from May 2026 described Trump as in excellent health with normal cognitive screening, countering public concerns about his age and stamina amid an ongoing Iran conflict and cabinet adjustments. No successful 25th Amendment invocation or resignation signals have emerged, and midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 fall outside the 2026 calendar year. These dynamics reinforce trader consensus on continuity through year-end absent unforeseen constitutional or health triggers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$11,732,064Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Recent failed House impeachment efforts, including the September 2026 tabling of articles over immigration enforcement and related incidents, underscore limited congressional momentum for removal despite Democratic divisions and Republican majorities. Official medical reports from May 2026 described Trump as in excellent health with normal cognitive screening, countering public concerns about his age and stamina amid an ongoing Iran conflict and cabinet adjustments. No successful 25th Amendment invocation or resignation signals have emerged, and midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 fall outside the 2026 calendar year. These dynamics reinforce trader consensus on continuity through year-end absent unforeseen constitutional or health triggers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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