Traders place strong odds on Donald Trump remaining in office through at least early 2027, reflecting the high procedural thresholds for presidential removal under the U.S. Constitution. Impeachment requires a House majority to advance articles followed by a two-thirds Senate vote to convict, a bar met only once in the modern era. As of May 2026, no such proceedings have secured broad bipartisan support, and the administration continues routine executive operations without interruption. Historical patterns show incumbents typically complete their terms absent acute health events, major scandals, or unified congressional opposition, none of which have materialized at scale. The 2026 midterms could alter House and Senate majorities, yet current institutional dynamics keep early removal improbable according to trader assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$8,523,191 Vol.
$8,523,191 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$8,523,191 Vol.
$8,523,191 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders place strong odds on Donald Trump remaining in office through at least early 2027, reflecting the high procedural thresholds for presidential removal under the U.S. Constitution. Impeachment requires a House majority to advance articles followed by a two-thirds Senate vote to convict, a bar met only once in the modern era. As of May 2026, no such proceedings have secured broad bipartisan support, and the administration continues routine executive operations without interruption. Historical patterns show incumbents typically complete their terms absent acute health events, major scandals, or unified congressional opposition, none of which have materialized at scale. The 2026 midterms could alter House and Senate majorities, yet current institutional dynamics keep early removal improbable according to trader assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$8,523,191Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders place strong odds on Donald Trump remaining in office through at least early 2027, reflecting the high procedural thresholds for presidential removal under the U.S. Constitution. Impeachment requires a House majority to advance articles followed by a two-thirds Senate vote to convict, a bar met only once in the modern era. As of May 2026, no such proceedings have secured broad bipartisan support, and the administration continues routine executive operations without interruption. Historical patterns show incumbents typically complete their terms absent acute health events, major scandals, or unified congressional opposition, none of which have materialized at scale. The 2026 midterms could alter House and Senate majorities, yet current institutional dynamics keep early removal improbable according to trader assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$8,523,232Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders place strong odds on Donald Trump remaining in office through at least early 2027, reflecting the high procedural thresholds for presidential removal under the U.S. Constitution. Impeachment requires a House majority to advance articles followed by a two-thirds Senate vote to convict, a bar met only once in the modern era. As of May 2026, no such proceedings have secured broad bipartisan support, and the administration continues routine executive operations without interruption. Historical patterns show incumbents typically complete their terms absent acute health events, major scandals, or unified congressional opposition, none of which have materialized at scale. The 2026 midterms could alter House and Senate majorities, yet current institutional dynamics keep early removal improbable according to trader assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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