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icon for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026
Economy·Consumer

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026

icon for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026
Economy·Consumer

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026

Juli 31

Juli 31

46.0–48.9 17%

43.0–45.9 16%

52.0–54.9 16%

≥55.0 12%

Polymarket
NEU

46.0–48.9 17%

43.0–45.9 16%

52.0–54.9 16%

≥55.0 12%

Polymarket
NEU

<40.0

$0 Vol.

5%

40.0–42.9

$0 Vol.

7%

43.0–45.9

$60 Vol.

16%

46.0–48.9

$20 Vol.

17%

49.0–51.9

$20 Vol.

11%

52.0–54.9

$20 Vol.

16%

≥55.0

$20 Vol.

12%

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for July 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for July 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for July 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent inflation readings, labor market conditions, and Treasury yield movements are the main drivers behind closely matched market-implied odds for the July 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, with readings of 55.0 or higher and the 43.0–45.9 range each at 54.5% probability. Traders are weighing whether cooling price pressures and steady job growth can lift confidence versus ongoing cost-of-living concerns that have kept the index range-bound historically. Key swing factors include upcoming employment data, Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate path, and any shifts in consumer spending or wage trends. Resolution remains highly sensitive to these releases given the narrow probability spread.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for July 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for July 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for July 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$100
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for July 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for July 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for July 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for July 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for July 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for July 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent inflation readings, labor market conditions, and Treasury yield movements are the main drivers behind closely matched market-implied odds for the July 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, with readings of 55.0 or higher and the 43.0–45.9 range each at 54.5% probability. Traders are weighing whether cooling price pressures and steady job growth can lift confidence versus ongoing cost-of-living concerns that have kept the index range-bound historically. Key swing factors include upcoming employment data, Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate path, and any shifts in consumer spending or wage trends. Resolution remains highly sensitive to these releases given the narrow probability spread.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for July 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for July 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for July 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$100
Enddatum
31. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for July 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for July 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for July 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „46.0–48.9" mit 17%, gefolgt von „43.0–45.9" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 17¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 17% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 30, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026" ist „46.0–48.9" mit 17%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 17% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „43.0–45.9" mit 16%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.