Recent May 2026 CPI data showed annual inflation accelerating to 4.2% from 3.8% in April, driven primarily by a sharp rise in energy prices amid geopolitical tensions. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a modest pullback to 4.05% for June, while consensus forecasts cluster near 3.9-4.2%. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this tight range, with outcomes from 4.0% to 4.2% commanding the bulk of probability as markets weigh persistent shelter and food pressures against potential energy stabilization. The July 14 release will resolve the market, with any deviation in month-over-month prints likely to shift implied odds on the annual rate.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJuni-Inflation US - Jährlich
4,1 % 22%
4,0 % 22%
4,2 % 19%
4,3 % 14%
≤3,6 %
2%
3,7 %
5%
3,8 %
5%
3,9%
14%
4,0 %
22%
4,1 %
22%
4,2 %
19%
4,3 %
14%
4,4 %
8%
4,5 %
7%
4,6 %
2%
≥4,7 %
5%
4,1 % 22%
4,0 % 22%
4,2 % 19%
4,3 % 14%
≤3,6 %
2%
3,7 %
5%
3,8 %
5%
3,9%
14%
4,0 %
22%
4,1 %
22%
4,2 %
19%
4,3 %
14%
4,4 %
8%
4,5 %
7%
4,6 %
2%
≥4,7 %
5%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 CPI data showed annual inflation accelerating to 4.2% from 3.8% in April, driven primarily by a sharp rise in energy prices amid geopolitical tensions. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a modest pullback to 4.05% for June, while consensus forecasts cluster near 3.9-4.2%. Trader positioning on Polymarket reflects this tight range, with outcomes from 4.0% to 4.2% commanding the bulk of probability as markets weigh persistent shelter and food pressures against potential energy stabilization. The July 14 release will resolve the market, with any deviation in month-over-month prints likely to shift implied odds on the annual rate.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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