Recent June 2026 Core CPI readings face tight market-implied odds, with 3.0% holding a slim lead at 50% probability ahead of 2.9% at 46% and 3.1% at 45.5%. This narrow clustering signals trader uncertainty over whether cooling labor market trends and prior disinflation momentum will extend or stall amid resilient services prices and energy volatility. Key swing factors include incoming May data revisions, retail sales trends, and any early signals on wage growth that could shift the year-over-year path. Resolution hinges on the official BLS release, where even small deviations in shelter or core goods components could realign probabilities across the 2.8–3.2% range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert3,0 % 50%
2,9 % 49%
3,1 % 46%
3,2 % 31%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
≤2,4 %
28%
2,5 %
29%
2,6%
28%
2,7 %
28%
2,8 %
28%
2,9 %
49%
3,0 %
50%
3,1 %
46%
3,2 %
31%
≥3,3 %
29%
3,0 % 50%
2,9 % 49%
3,1 % 46%
3,2 % 31%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
≤2,4 %
$0 Vol.
28%
2,5 %
$0 Vol.
29%
2,6%
$0 Vol.
28%
2,7 %
$1 Vol.
28%
2,8 %
$0 Vol.
28%
2,9 %
$0 Vol.
49%
3,0 %
$0 Vol.
50%
3,1 %
$41 Vol.
46%
3,2 %
$44 Vol.
31%
≥3,3 %
$44 Vol.
29%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 Core CPI readings face tight market-implied odds, with 3.0% holding a slim lead at 50% probability ahead of 2.9% at 46% and 3.1% at 45.5%. This narrow clustering signals trader uncertainty over whether cooling labor market trends and prior disinflation momentum will extend or stall amid resilient services prices and energy volatility. Key swing factors include incoming May data revisions, retail sales trends, and any early signals on wage growth that could shift the year-over-year path. Resolution hinges on the official BLS release, where even small deviations in shelter or core goods components could realign probabilities across the 2.8–3.2% range.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Volumen
$130Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 Core CPI readings face tight market-implied odds, with 3.0% holding a slim lead at 50% probability ahead of 2.9% at 46% and 3.1% at 45.5%. This narrow clustering signals trader uncertainty over whether cooling labor market trends and prior disinflation momentum will extend or stall amid resilient services prices and energy volatility. Key swing factors include incoming May data revisions, retail sales trends, and any early signals on wage growth that could shift the year-over-year path. Resolution hinges on the official BLS release, where even small deviations in shelter or core goods components could realign probabilities across the 2.8–3.2% range.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$130Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 Core CPI readings face tight market-implied odds, with 3.0% holding a slim lead at 50% probability ahead of 2.9% at 46% and 3.1% at 45.5%. This narrow clustering signals trader uncertainty over whether cooling labor market trends and prior disinflation momentum will extend or stall amid resilient services prices and energy volatility. Key swing factors include incoming May data revisions, retail sales trends, and any early signals on wage growth that could shift the year-over-year path. Resolution hinges on the official BLS release, where even small deviations in shelter or core goods components could realign probabilities across the 2.8–3.2% range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen