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icon for Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Politics·Trump

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

icon for Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Politics·Trump

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

18% Chance
Polymarket

$13,492 Vol.

18% Chance
Polymarket

$13,492 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that any decision on a 2028 Republican presidential bid will occur with his wife after the November 2026 midterms, while emphasizing focus on his current duties and Trump's supportive stance without direct pressure. Recent interviews confirm he avoids early commitments, pushes back on speculation by clarifying he is "not a potential future candidate" yet, and has engaged in early-state travel that sustains contender status. Isolated reports of political isolation or reconsideration lack confirmation and have been dismissed by his office, leaving no verified developments that would prompt a withdrawal announcement before year-end. Trader consensus at 78% reflects these signals that Vance is preserving flexibility rather than closing the door this year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$13,492
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that any decision on a 2028 Republican presidential bid will occur with his wife after the November 2026 midterms, while emphasizing focus on his current duties and Trump's supportive stance without direct pressure. Recent interviews confirm he avoids early commitments, pushes back on speculation by clarifying he is "not a potential future candidate" yet, and has engaged in early-state travel that sustains contender status. Isolated reports of political isolation or reconsideration lack confirmation and have been dismissed by his office, leaving no verified developments that would prompt a withdrawal announcement before year-end. Trader consensus at 78% reflects these signals that Vance is preserving flexibility rather than closing the door this year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$13,492
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 18% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 18¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 18%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $13.5K generiert, seit der Markt am May 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?" liegt bei 18% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 18% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.