Skip to main content
icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

NEU

$11,287 Vol.

28. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$11,287 Vol.

Polymarket

Bank / Asset 10+ times

$88 Vol.

54%

Task Force 5+ times

$361 Vol.

63%

Stable 5+ times

$371 Vol.

19%

AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times

$802 Vol.

48%

Challenge

$230 Vol.

57%

Framework

$458 Vol.

74%

Prediction / Predictive

$886 Vol.

27%

CapEx / Capital Expenditure

$462 Vol.

50%

Regime

$529 Vol.

79%

Integrity

$215 Vol.

26%

Productivity

$891 Vol.

78%

Independent / Independence

$113 Vol.

74%

2008 / Financial Crisis

$853 Vol.

44%

Good Day

$1,592 Vol.

35%

Good Morning

$381 Vol.

59%

Trump

$685 Vol.

4%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$1,301 Vol.

29%

Gold

$920 Vol.

9%

Too Late

$100 Vol.

8%

-No Qualifying Event-

$49 Vol.

6%

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chair Kevin Warsh’s August 27–29 Jackson Hole address occurs against a backdrop of elevated inflation above the 2% target, a federal funds rate held at 3.5–3.75%, and his self-described “regime change” at the Fed. Recent communications have stripped forward guidance from FOMC statements, emphasized “no tolerance” for persistently high inflation, and signaled that policy will not be constrained by market pricing, while avoiding near-term rate signals. Traders are focused on whether Warsh will outline a revised monetary framework, revisit average inflation targeting, or address structural factors such as financial innovation and productivity gains from AI. The speech follows July data showing mixed inflation trends and a divided committee on the rate path, heightening sensitivity to any shift in tone on price stability or communication policy.

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volumen
$11,287
Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chair Kevin Warsh’s August 27–29 Jackson Hole address occurs against a backdrop of elevated inflation above the 2% target, a federal funds rate held at 3.5–3.75%, and his self-described “regime change” at the Fed. Recent communications have stripped forward guidance from FOMC statements, emphasized “no tolerance” for persistently high inflation, and signaled that policy will not be constrained by market pricing, while avoiding near-term rate signals. Traders are focused on whether Warsh will outline a revised monetary framework, revisit average inflation targeting, or address structural factors such as financial innovation and productivity gains from AI. The speech follows July data showing mixed inflation trends and a divided committee on the rate path, heightening sensitivity to any shift in tone on price stability or communication policy.

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volumen
$11,287
Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 20 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Regime" mit 79%, gefolgt von „Productivity" mit 79%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 79¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 79% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $11.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 18, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 20 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" ist „Regime" mit 79%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 79% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Productivity" mit 79%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.