The elevated 63.5% probability assigned to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects the stalled Ukraine peace process one year after their 2025 Alaska summit, with recent July 2026 phone contacts yielding only vague commitments to future talks amid continued fighting and European pushback against U.S.-led exclusion. Trader consensus on China at 31.5% appears driven by its perceived neutrality for any renewed high-level engagement, contrasting with minimal odds on U.S. soil or traditional European venues due to security, political, and alliance constraints. Scheduled events such as potential G20 participation or NATO-related diplomacy have not produced concrete summit plans within the resolution window, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any late-year breakthroughs or escalations in bilateral contacts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWo treffen sich Trump und Putin im Jahr 2026 als nächstes?
Wo treffen sich Trump und Putin im Jahr 2026 als nächstes?
Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember 64%
China 32%
United States 2.6%
Gulf country <1%
$485,439 Vol.
$485,439 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember
64%
China
32%
United States
3%
Gulf country
1%
Turkey
1%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
Finland
<1%
Russia
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember 64%
China 32%
United States 2.6%
Gulf country <1%
$485,439 Vol.
$485,439 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember
$92,497 Vol.
64%
China
$62,065 Vol.
32%
United States
$24,872 Vol.
3%
Gulf country
$17,232 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$25,095 Vol.
1%
Other
$18,160 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Vol.
1%
Finland
$21,461 Vol.
<1%
Russia
$66,447 Vol.
<1%
Switzerland
$20,685 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$17,429 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The elevated 63.5% probability assigned to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects the stalled Ukraine peace process one year after their 2025 Alaska summit, with recent July 2026 phone contacts yielding only vague commitments to future talks amid continued fighting and European pushback against U.S.-led exclusion. Trader consensus on China at 31.5% appears driven by its perceived neutrality for any renewed high-level engagement, contrasting with minimal odds on U.S. soil or traditional European venues due to security, political, and alliance constraints. Scheduled events such as potential G20 participation or NATO-related diplomacy have not produced concrete summit plans within the resolution window, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any late-year breakthroughs or escalations in bilateral contacts.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volumen
$485,439Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The elevated 63.5% probability assigned to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects the stalled Ukraine peace process one year after their 2025 Alaska summit, with recent July 2026 phone contacts yielding only vague commitments to future talks amid continued fighting and European pushback against U.S.-led exclusion. Trader consensus on China at 31.5% appears driven by its perceived neutrality for any renewed high-level engagement, contrasting with minimal odds on U.S. soil or traditional European venues due to security, political, and alliance constraints. Scheduled events such as potential G20 participation or NATO-related diplomacy have not produced concrete summit plans within the resolution window, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any late-year breakthroughs or escalations in bilateral contacts.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$485,439Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The elevated 63.5% probability assigned to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects the stalled Ukraine peace process one year after their 2025 Alaska summit, with recent July 2026 phone contacts yielding only vague commitments to future talks amid continued fighting and European pushback against U.S.-led exclusion. Trader consensus on China at 31.5% appears driven by its perceived neutrality for any renewed high-level engagement, contrasting with minimal odds on U.S. soil or traditional European venues due to security, political, and alliance constraints. Scheduled events such as potential G20 participation or NATO-related diplomacy have not produced concrete summit plans within the resolution window, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any late-year breakthroughs or escalations in bilateral contacts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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