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Technik·AI

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

icon for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
Technik·AI

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

Aug. 31

Sep. 30

Aug. 31

Sep. 30

Anthropic 55%

OpenAI 50%

Moonshot 48%

Baidu 43%

Polymarket
NEU

Anthropic 55%

OpenAI 50%

Moonshot 48%

Baidu 43%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$0 Vol.

55%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Google

Google

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Meta

Meta

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$0 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a modest edge in this LiveBench market at 54% implied probability due to its rapid June-July 2026 releases of Claude Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos 5, which have posted leading scores on coding and reasoning subtasks. OpenAI’s GPT-5.2 and Google’s Gemini 3.5 Flash sit close behind, creating a tight contest where any new model drop or benchmark refresh before August 31 could shift the leaderboard. Traders are pricing in Anthropic’s recent gains in high-effort reasoning modes while noting the fluid competitive landscape—product updates, safety routing changes, and independent evaluations frequently reorder top positions on LiveBench. Upcoming developer conferences and potential August model iterations remain key swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://livebench.ai/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a modest edge in this LiveBench market at 54% implied probability due to its rapid June-July 2026 releases of Claude Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos 5, which have posted leading scores on coding and reasoning subtasks. OpenAI’s GPT-5.2 and Google’s Gemini 3.5 Flash sit close behind, creating a tight contest where any new model drop or benchmark refresh before August 31 could shift the leaderboard. Traders are pricing in Anthropic’s recent gains in high-effort reasoning modes while noting the fluid competitive landscape—product updates, safety routing changes, and independent evaluations frequently reorder top positions on LiveBench. Upcoming developer conferences and potential August model iterations remain key swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://livebench.ai/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 21 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Anthropic" mit 55%, gefolgt von „OpenAI" mit 50%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 55¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 29, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 21 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?" ist „Anthropic" mit 55%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „OpenAI" mit 50%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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