US crude oil inventory markets reflect trader focus on weekly EIA data amid geopolitical supply shocks from the Iran conflict and shifting global balances. Commercial stocks (excluding SPR) have drawn sharply in recent months, falling to levels around 412-434 million barrels as of mid-2026 reports, well below five-year averages, driven by reduced Middle East exports and elevated refinery demand. The latest EIA release for the week ending July 3 showed a 3 million barrel build, reversing prior draws of 3.8-8 million barrels, while EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects continued global inventory declines of 2.2 million barrels per day in Q3 before rebuilding later. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory prints through August, refinery utilization rates, import/export flows, and any OPEC+ production adjustments, with seasonal summer demand patterns adding volatility to the path toward the August 28 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert300 Mio.
50%
285 Mio.
49%
270 Mio.
40%
255 Mio.
49%
240 Mio.
48%
225 Mio.
6%
$54 Vol.
300 Mio.
50%
285 Mio.
49%
270 Mio.
40%
255 Mio.
49%
240 Mio.
48%
225 Mio.
6%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US crude oil inventory markets reflect trader focus on weekly EIA data amid geopolitical supply shocks from the Iran conflict and shifting global balances. Commercial stocks (excluding SPR) have drawn sharply in recent months, falling to levels around 412-434 million barrels as of mid-2026 reports, well below five-year averages, driven by reduced Middle East exports and elevated refinery demand. The latest EIA release for the week ending July 3 showed a 3 million barrel build, reversing prior draws of 3.8-8 million barrels, while EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects continued global inventory declines of 2.2 million barrels per day in Q3 before rebuilding later. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory prints through August, refinery utilization rates, import/export flows, and any OPEC+ production adjustments, with seasonal summer demand patterns adding volatility to the path toward the August 28 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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