Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for late 2027, where analysts expect him to secure a fourth term as general secretary. Recent purges have removed multiple Politburo and Central Military Commission members, reinforcing loyalty and eliminating potential rivals while the upcoming fifth plenum emphasizes discipline and ideological uniformity. No public signals point to retirement or succession arrangements before then, and informal age norms do not constrain the top leader. This consolidation drives the 96.7% trader consensus on "No." Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden health event, major policy reversal triggering elite resistance, or an unprecedented internal challenge, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current institutional dynamics.
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