Traders assign the highest probability to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts for the May 15-22, 2026 period, reflecting expectations of elevated platform activity driven by his ongoing engagement with legislative developments and public commentary on policy matters. With the interval already underway, observed daily posting patterns through mid-week align with this range, as sustained responses to news cycles and scheduled events tend to increase volume. Lower-probability brackets for 160-199 posts account for possible moderation if competing priorities or travel reduce output in the final days. The tight clustering around higher tiers underscores the wisdom of crowds in pricing historical activity levels against current political catalysts, while acknowledging that unexpected developments could still shift totals before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDonald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?
200+ 54%
160-179 23%
180-199 18.6%
140-159 11%
$23,431 Vol.
$23,431 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
23%
180-199
16%
200+
54%
200+ 54%
160-179 23%
180-199 18.6%
140-159 11%
$23,431 Vol.
$23,431 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
23%
180-199
16%
200+
54%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts for the May 15-22, 2026 period, reflecting expectations of elevated platform activity driven by his ongoing engagement with legislative developments and public commentary on policy matters. With the interval already underway, observed daily posting patterns through mid-week align with this range, as sustained responses to news cycles and scheduled events tend to increase volume. Lower-probability brackets for 160-199 posts account for possible moderation if competing priorities or travel reduce output in the final days. The tight clustering around higher tiers underscores the wisdom of crowds in pricing historical activity levels against current political catalysts, while acknowledging that unexpected developments could still shift totals before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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