The trial of Duane "Keefe D" Davis for orchestrating Tupac Shakur’s 1996 murder opened in Las Vegas in mid-August 2026, with prosecutors presenting Davis’s own prior admissions—including a 2019 memoir and police interviews—as core evidence of his role supplying the weapon and directing the drive-by in retaliation for a gang-related assault on his nephew. Davis, who has pleaded not guilty and now calls those statements fabrications meant to sell books, faces a single count of murder with a deadly weapon tied to gang activity; the defense has attacked the decades-old investigation’s credibility and lack of direct scene evidence. Ongoing witness testimony, including forensic details and law-enforcement accounts, plus the month-long expected duration, has lifted the market-implied odds of conviction to the low-to-mid 60s by reflecting traders’ assessment of how a jury may weigh self-incriminating history against recantation and circumstantial gaps. Key near-term catalysts include remaining prosecution witnesses and closing arguments that could shift momentum before deliberations.