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icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?

icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?

140-159 26%

160-179 24%

120-139 20.0%

180-199 16%

Polymarket

$843,306 Vol.

140-159 26%

160-179 24%

120-139 20.0%

180-199 16%

Polymarket

$843,306 Vol.

40-59

$1,883 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$44,045 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$84,233 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$91,841 Vol.

7%

120-139

$56,743 Vol.

20%

140-159

$17,227 Vol.

26%

160-179

$23,630 Vol.

24%

180-199

$33,462 Vol.

16%

200-219

$18,323 Vol.

7%

220-239

$15,151 Vol.

2%

240-259

$19,812 Vol.

1%

260-279

$44,701 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$54,244 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$51,905 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$56,042 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$38,794 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$35,717 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$43,006 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$28,243 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$10,328 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$7,201 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$6,646 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$6,646 Vol.

<1%

500+

$48,717 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's weekly tweet volume on X shows traders clustering expectations tightly around 120-199 posts for August 14-21, 2026, with the 140-159 range leading at 25.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects Musk's baseline high-frequency activity, typically driven by business announcements, policy commentary, and real-time platform engagement rather than singular events. The narrow gap between leading bins underscores how daily fluctuations from news cycles or audience interactions can shift totals within the week. Historical patterns of sustained output near or above 150 tweets per week anchor the consensus, while any late-week developments could still alter the final tally before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$843,306
Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's weekly tweet volume on X shows traders clustering expectations tightly around 120-199 posts for August 14-21, 2026, with the 140-159 range leading at 25.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects Musk's baseline high-frequency activity, typically driven by business announcements, policy commentary, and real-time platform engagement rather than singular events. The narrow gap between leading bins underscores how daily fluctuations from news cycles or audience interactions can shift totals within the week. Historical patterns of sustained output near or above 150 tweets per week anchor the consensus, while any late-week developments could still alter the final tally before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$843,306
Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 26 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "140-159" con 26%, seguido de "160-179" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 26¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?" ha generado $843.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?", explora los 26 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?" es "140-159" con 26%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "160-179" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 14 al 21 de agosto de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.