Elon Musk's weekly tweet volume on X shows traders clustering expectations tightly around 120-199 posts for August 14-21, 2026, with the 140-159 range leading at 25.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects Musk's baseline high-frequency activity, typically driven by business announcements, policy commentary, and real-time platform engagement rather than singular events. The narrow gap between leading bins underscores how daily fluctuations from news cycles or audience interactions can shift totals within the week. Historical patterns of sustained output near or above 150 tweets per week anchor the consensus, while any late-week developments could still alter the final tally before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado140-159 26%
160-179 24%
120-139 20.0%
180-199 16%
$843,306 Vol.
$843,306 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
26%
160-179
24%
180-199
16%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 26%
160-179 24%
120-139 20.0%
180-199 16%
$843,306 Vol.
$843,306 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
26%
160-179
24%
180-199
16%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's weekly tweet volume on X shows traders clustering expectations tightly around 120-199 posts for August 14-21, 2026, with the 140-159 range leading at 25.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects Musk's baseline high-frequency activity, typically driven by business announcements, policy commentary, and real-time platform engagement rather than singular events. The narrow gap between leading bins underscores how daily fluctuations from news cycles or audience interactions can shift totals within the week. Historical patterns of sustained output near or above 150 tweets per week anchor the consensus, while any late-week developments could still alter the final tally before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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