Traders see the 780-839 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk in August 2026 because his mid-month pace—roughly 380 posts through August 17—projects to a full-month total in that band when sustained at recent daily averages of 20-40 posts. Competitive dynamics remain tight as volume fluctuates with SpaceX launch coverage, Tesla updates, and real-time reactions to industry news, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty around any slowdown during the final two weeks. Historical patterns of elevated activity around major milestones and platform engagement reinforce the central clustering, though sudden spikes or quieter stretches could still shift resolution within the top-probability buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado800-839 15.0%
780-799 14.8%
840-879 11.9%
760-779 10.7%
$148,501 Vol.
$148,501 Vol.
1 sep 2026
300-319
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
4%
700-719
5%
720-739
7%
740-759
10%
760-779
11%
780-799
15%
800-839
15%
840-879
12%
880-919
7%
920-959
5%
960-999
2%
1000+
4%
800-839 15.0%
780-799 14.8%
840-879 11.9%
760-779 10.7%
$148,501 Vol.
$148,501 Vol.
1 sep 2026
300-319
$169 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$429 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$435 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$5,043 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$3,637 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$7,034 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$13,764 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$8,203 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$7,660 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$8,086 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$7,720 Vol.
<1%
580-599
$3,959 Vol.
1%
600-619
$5,243 Vol.
1%
620-639
$6,209 Vol.
1%
640-659
$3,101 Vol.
2%
660-679
$3,160 Vol.
2%
680-699
$3,194 Vol.
4%
700-719
$1,967 Vol.
5%
720-739
$2,396 Vol.
7%
740-759
$3,237 Vol.
10%
760-779
$2,949 Vol.
11%
780-799
$2,960 Vol.
15%
800-839
$4,652 Vol.
15%
840-879
$5,318 Vol.
12%
880-919
$4,795 Vol.
7%
920-959
$5,151 Vol.
5%
960-999
$10,780 Vol.
2%
1000+
$7,032 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 780-839 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk in August 2026 because his mid-month pace—roughly 380 posts through August 17—projects to a full-month total in that band when sustained at recent daily averages of 20-40 posts. Competitive dynamics remain tight as volume fluctuates with SpaceX launch coverage, Tesla updates, and real-time reactions to industry news, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty around any slowdown during the final two weeks. Historical patterns of elevated activity around major milestones and platform engagement reinforce the central clustering, though sudden spikes or quieter stretches could still shift resolution within the top-probability buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$148,501Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 780-839 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk in August 2026 because his mid-month pace—roughly 380 posts through August 17—projects to a full-month total in that band when sustained at recent daily averages of 20-40 posts. Competitive dynamics remain tight as volume fluctuates with SpaceX launch coverage, Tesla updates, and real-time reactions to industry news, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty around any slowdown during the final two weeks. Historical patterns of elevated activity around major milestones and platform engagement reinforce the central clustering, though sudden spikes or quieter stretches could still shift resolution within the top-probability buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$148,501Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 780-839 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk in August 2026 because his mid-month pace—roughly 380 posts through August 17—projects to a full-month total in that band when sustained at recent daily averages of 20-40 posts. Competitive dynamics remain tight as volume fluctuates with SpaceX launch coverage, Tesla updates, and real-time reactions to industry news, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty around any slowdown during the final two weeks. Historical patterns of elevated activity around major milestones and platform engagement reinforce the central clustering, though sudden spikes or quieter stretches could still shift resolution within the top-probability buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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